Trump: Now Iran may have a second chance – while Israel launches its second attack wave

On Truth Social, Donald Trump wrote that Iran had 60 days to make a deal and now on day 61 Iran experienced a huge attack by Israel.

Still, Trump claims the US had nothing to do with the Israeli attack.

Trump says, now Iran, perhaps, has a second chance.

But a second chance to do what? What happens if the Iranian government will not move? And where should they move? Iran can state to abandon its nuclear military project, but will this be enough? And if not, will Israel continue to bomb Iran? Has Israel enough force or will the US participate? Will the US sacrifice soldiers and material in a war with Iran – which might not be won, but only settled with a negotiated agreement. Israel and the US may not be able to invade and occupy Iran, which is larger, more populated and has a more advanced military than Iran, Iraq or Syria.

Will the Mullah Regime fight for long? Will the Iranian army resist the continues bombardment? How will the people of Iran react in view of mounting civilian victims. If ever, might it be possible to bomb away the Mullah Regime? And when and how will the Mullah Regime have a kind of nuclear weapon?

Many unknown variables in a situation where even external variables (such as Saudi Arabia, the Gulf States, Russia or even North Korea) seem not included. And what about the global community, the UN, the World’s energy and financial markets etc?

And what about the oil markets? Will Iran close the Gulf? Will the ten fold oil price cripple US economy and budget, and bring the US to state bankruptcy? Will the European economy collapse with its since long failing industries and without reliable energy sources (other than maybe Russian) and the European nightmare of debts?

And Israel just started the second wave attack, today this afternoon.

Iran knows that it has a leverage of the World’s energy and finance. With simple military threats or small canon boats, Iran can close the Gulf, sink tankers and shock the World’s energy and financial markets, which will collapse not only because of interconnected high risk positions and derivative contracts. Maybe the question will be then: does the US and Israel (and Europe) have a second chance? Once the markets bust and collapse, a second chance is hardly available.

And Russia? Russia is physically excluded from the World financial markets and a contamination will be minimal. On the other had, Russia will extremely profit from the increase of energy and resources prices. Oil is up today an average of 8% – and the Iranian reaction is not predicted.

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